I already filed my predictions for the national nominations, but with 1 hour 25 minutes and 51 seconds left before the caucusing according to MSNBC, I feel the urge to post my predictions for Iowa.
- Republicans
-
- Huckabee
- Romney
- McCain
- Democrats (Dream Outcome)
-
- Obama
- Edwards
- Clinton
- Democrats (Greatest Fear)
-
- Clinton
- Edwards
- Obama
I’m leaning a bit towards my greatest fear for the dem side since Joe Scarborough rightfully pointed out that every campaign that depends on young people and new voters turning out fails spectacularly, because those people simply don’t turn out. Edwards is playing it smart by focusing on rural Iowa and gaming Iowa’s mini electoral college for all its worth. I also think senior Clinton advisor Ann Lewis was playing it smart when she talked about all the old women they were going to truck in. Old folks are who shows up to vote. However Clinton isn’t the second choice for anyone, so that could hurt her. Also boding ill for Clinton is the the whole lowering expectations that her campaign is putting out, so I’m going to say:
- Democrats (Final Prediction)
-
- Obama
- Clinton
- Edwards
But I’m hoping for my dream outcome.